A few weeks ago, I offered some fearless predictions about this year's Oscars. Let's see how I did. (In 2006, I might as well have guess completely randomly. I know -- it's such a shock.)
Best Actor: Forest Whitaker (Me: Will Smith)
Best Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin (Me: Arkin). Conclusion: The Academy got this one right! (Arkin deserved this award beyond belief.)
Best Actress: Helen Mirren (Me: Meyrl Streep). Conclusion: Meryl got robbed!
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Hudson (Me: Abigail Breslin)
Best Animated Film: Happy Feet (Me: Cars). This is total crap. And why weren't A Scanner Darkly and Flushed Away nomited. Criminal.
Best Art Direction: Pan's Labyrinth (Me: Pan's Labyrinth). Duh.
Best Cinematography: Pan's Labyrinth (Me: Pan's Labyrinth). Even more duh.
Best Costume Design: Marie Antoinette (Me: Marie Antoinette). Wow, three in a row. By the way, Marie got my pick for who would win. In my opinion, Curse of the Golden Flower should have won, but I was voting with my ... er ... "heart" rather than my mind as far as what I felt should have gotten the nod. Any, this is a victory as far as my predictions go.
Best Directing: The Departed (Me: United 93). In my defense, I made an arbirtrary prediction before I saw any of these films. Now that I've actually seen The Departed...
Best Documentary: An Inconvenient Truth (Me: An Inconvenient Truth). Everybody saw this one coming from a mile away. At least we now know Al Gore can win something. I heard he's keeping his statue in a lockbox.
Best Short Documentary: The Blood of Yinzhou District (Me: Yingzhou). I pulled this one out of my ass and picked a winner (as it were).
Best Film Editing: The Departed (Me: United 93). Once again, had I actually seen The Departed at the time I made these predictions...
Best Foreign Language Film: The Lives of Others (Me: Pan's Labyrinth).
Best Makeup: Pan's Labyrinth (Me: Pan's Labyrinth).
Best Musical Score: Babel (Me: Pan's Labyrinth).
Best Original Song: Melissa Etheridge, "I Need to Wake Up", An Inconvenient Truth. (Me: Randy Newman, "Our Town", Cars). When is the last time a documentary had the best original song? Back in the day, the best song almost always came from a Disney film, but the times they are achangin'.
Best Picture: The Departed (Me: Little Miss Sunshine). Oops. (Note that I was predicting which one would win. My favorite films weren't even nominated for this award.)
Best Animated Short Picture: The Danish Poet (Me: Time For Nuts).
Best Live Action Short Film: West Bank Story (Me: West Bank Story). Dig the title and dig it well.
Best Sound Editing: Letters from Iwo Jima (Me: Iwo Jima). I pulled another one out of my ass.
Best Sound Mixing: Dreamgirls (Me: Dreamgirls).
Best Visual Effects: Pirates of the Carribean: Dead Man's Chest (Me: Pirates). Dude, another three in a row.
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Departed (Me: Notes on a Scandal).
Best Original Screenplay: Little Miss Sunshine (Me: Little Miss Sunshine).
OK, so how did I do this year? I got 12 right out of 24. Last year, I only got 8 right out of 24. The difference is a combination or randomness, a couple of obvious choices, and the fact that I saw more nominated films this year than last year and I made fewer wild guesses as a result. Actually, batting .500 in predicting Oscars (given the nominees) is actually pretty decent.
2 days ago
3 comments:
And, had you seen The Departed, you might have even beaten .500!
Certainly, that supports what I'm claiming. :) The victories by The Departed all came from categories whose "predictions" I pulled out of my ass.
Though somehow I think you're mocking me with your comment. :) Bah, I choose to ignore that.
No, not really. If I wanted to mock you, I'd say, "your mom has beaten 500!"
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